NFL Week 16 Predictions: Our Picks Against the Spread

Tennessee Titans at Inexperienced Bay Packers, 8:20 p.m., NBC

Line: Packers -3.5 | Whole: 56

Solely three groups are averaging greater than 30 factors a sport, and two of them face off right here. Oddsmakers predict it to be the highest-scoring sport of the week, and whereas 56 is a decent quantity, you need to surprise how a lot greater that might be if the forecast in Inexperienced Bay didn’t name for temperatures within the 20s and an opportunity of snow.

The Titans (10-4) have been on a roll, with Derrick Henry working roughshod over all comers and Ryan Tannehill making opponents pay for stacking the field by stretching the sphere with the passing sport. That recipe has led to 5 straight video games during which Tennessee had at the least 420 yards of whole offense and 30 factors.

The Packers (11-3) have been having fun with an M.V.P.-level season from Aaron Rodgers and a profession yr from vast receiver Davante Adams, resulting in Inexperienced Bay’s being held to fewer than 30 factors simply thrice. And whereas Aaron Jones has fewer dashing touchdowns than he did final season, he’s on observe to surpass final yr’s dashing whole whereas averaging 5.Four yards a carry.

Each groups have an excessive amount of motivation to win, with Tennessee making an attempt to combat off Indianapolis for the A.F.C. South title and Inexperienced Bay on the verge of securing the N.F.C.’s first-round bye. However the Packers’ expertise in poor climate might be what decides this one. Decide: Packers -3.5

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks, 4:25 p.m., Fox

Line: Seahawks -1.5 | Whole: 47.5

It’s a must to assume the Rams (9-5) squandered their probability at an N.F.C. West title with final week’s abject failure against the Jets. Los Angeles may have come into this sport with the identical report because the Seahawks (10-4). As a substitute, Seattle can clinch the division with a win at house. The Rams are nonetheless overwhelmingly more likely to make the playoffs — a win for them or a loss by Chicago might be sufficient to get them there — however it’s laborious to be enthusiastic a few crew that enables itself to be overwhelmed by the Jets, who had a expertise deficiency at each place. Decide: Seahawks -1.5

Atlanta Falcons at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Chiefs -10.5 | Whole: 54

There may be little at stake on this sport. The Falcons (4-10) have been eradicated from playoff competition, and whereas the Chiefs (13-1) can clinch the A.F.C.’s lone first-round bye with a win, they’d nonetheless have a 98 p.c probability of the highest seed even when they misplaced each of their remaining video games, according to The Upshot.

With stakes that low, there isn’t any motive to hurry the return of working again Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and Kansas Metropolis must be contemplating resting different key gamers as properly. That would open the door for Atlanta to cowl, however the Chiefs ought to nonetheless win. Decide: Falcons +10.5

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