Few thought the Los Angeles Rams or the Cleveland Browns would get this far, and the Buffalo Payments had way more success than may very well be anticipated. The Baltimore Ravens stormed again into rivalry, a pair of 40-something quarterbacks will face off in New Orleans and everyone seems to be (or ought to be) terrified of the Inexperienced Bay Packers and the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs. The wheat has been separated from the chaff, and the divisional spherical will slim issues additional.
Here’s a take a look at this weekend’s N.F.L. playoff matchups. In contrast to within the common season, the picks are usually not made towards the purpose unfold.
Saturday’s Video games
Los Angeles Rams at Inexperienced Bay Packers, 4:35 p.m., Fox
Line: Packers -6.5 | Complete: 45.5
A lot will probably be made in regards to the relationship between Coach Sean McVay of the Rams and Coach Matt LaFleur of the Packers. LaFleur served as McVay’s offensive coordinator in 2017, they usually had been offensive assistants collectively on Washington’s workers from 2010 to 2013. They’re key figures in an offensive revolution, however if you’re hoping for a high-scoring affair, you would possibly need to strive one other sport.
Inexperienced Bay led the N.F.L. in scoring because of a turn-the-clock-way-back season from Aaron Rodgers that has him in rivalry for the Most Helpful Participant Award. His success got here with assist from the operating of Aaron Jones (1,459 yards from scrimmage), the vertical risk of Marquez Valdes-Scantling (20.9 yards per reception) and the all-around brilliance of Davante Adams (115 catches, 1,374 yards and 18 touchdowns).
But when there’s a group designed to gradual the Packers, it’s the Rams.
Few defenses can match the relentless move rush of Aaron Donald and Leonard Floyd, and whereas Rodgers doesn’t fluster simply, the few occasions he has proven weak spot in recent times have come when he’s beneath constant strain. Complicating issues is the absence of the star left deal with David Bakhtiari, whose season ended with a torn anterior cruciate ligament in Week 16.
Jones may very well be neutralized by a Rams entrance seven that ranked third within the N.F.L. in run protection — sure, Donald leads the best way there too. Inexperienced Bay counting on the house run risk of Valdes-Scantling is dangerous because of his propensity for dropped passes.
That leaves probably the most intriguing matchup because the one between the shutdown cornerback Jalen Ramsey and Adams, who could make a case because the N.F.L.’s greatest, and most underappreciated, present receiver.
“ me, I’d prefer to go towards anyone and have good-on-good as a lot as potential,” Adams stated this week when requested about Ramsey.
On impartial floor, and with equal well being, this might add as much as a Rams upset. However Inexperienced Bay fought arduous to achieve the home-field benefit all through the playoffs, and that arduous work may very well be the group’s saving grace. It’s anticipated to be round 30 levels at kickoff in Inexperienced Bay, Wis., and Rams quarterback Jared Goff is only some weeks faraway from surgical procedure on the thumb of his throwing hand. He appeared to wrestle along with his grip final week, and the chilly, mixed with a good-enough Packers protection, ought to give Inexperienced Bay all the sting it wants. Choose: Packers
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Payments, 8:15 p.m., NBC
Line: Payments -2.5 | Complete: 50
The Ravens haven’t misplaced a sport since Dec. 2. The Payments haven’t misplaced one since Nov. 15. Each have weatherproof offenses and defenses able to game-changing performs. And each overcame some psychological weight within the wild-card spherical — Buffalo obtained its first postseason victory because the 1995 season; Lamar Jackson of the Ravens gained a playoff sport for the primary time.
There are myriad causes to tug for each groups — and a persistent perception that both group advancing is simply signing as much as lose to Kansas Metropolis within the subsequent spherical — however it’s arduous to imagine that Buffalo, even at dwelling, can gradual Baltimore’s juggernaut operating sport.
When the Ravens hit the “reset button” after a midseason lull, the group targeted almost all of its assault on the operating of quarterback Lamar Jackson and operating backs J.Ok. Dobbins and Gus Edwards. That led to Baltimore’s speeding for 230 or extra yards in 4 of its closing 5 video games of the common season, together with a ridiculous 404 — the fifth-most speeding yards in N.F.L. historical past — in a Week 17 win over Cincinnati. That saved up within the wild-card spherical, with the Ravens operating for 236 yards.
Buffalo ranked 17th in run protection this season, however that rating would have been worse had groups not been pressured to move to maintain up with the Payments’ electrical offense. That exhibits up in the truth that Buffalo ranked among the many N.F.L.’s six worst run defenses in yards per carry (4.6) and speeding touchdowns allowed (21).
The Payments’ protection has a number of gamers able to severe disruption, however a lot of that comes within the secondary. On a cold day in Orchard Park, N.Y., the Ravens may give attention to operating the ball, and it’s arduous to see the Payments having the ability to cease them. Buffalo’s offense can’t be counted out, even towards a strong Ravens protection, however Baltimore ought to management the clock and the sport. Choose: Ravens
Sunday’s Video games
Cleveland Browns at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, 3:05 p.m., CBS
Line: Chiefs -10 | Complete: 56.5
For all intents and functions, Cleveland superior to the divisional spherical after barely greater than 13 minutes of its wild-card sport towards Pittsburgh. A playoff sport has not often gone sideways so shortly, with the Browns’ protection forcing three fast turnovers and their offense dealing with its finish of the deal by operating up a 28-Zero lead with 1 minute 56 seconds left within the first quarter.
The Browns’ 48-37 win shouldn’t be written off as a fluke — Cleveland has its greatest group since Coach Invoice Belichick was roaming the sideline within the mid-1990s — however making the most of Ben Roethlisberger’s errors is quite a bit completely different from forcing Patrick Mahomes into some, so anticipating a repeat of that lightning-fast begin can be silly.
Kansas Metropolis would possibly get operating again Clyde Edwards-Helaire again from a scary-looking hip damage in Week 15. Even when they don’t, a mixture of Le’Veon Bell and Damien Williams supplies sufficient steadiness that Mahomes ought to have the ability to shred Cleveland’s secondary with deep passes to vast receiver Tyreek Hill and throws beneath to tight finish Travis Kelce.
Cleveland’s offense has sometimes proven some burst — final week’s effort was the franchise’s highest-scoring postseason sport because the 1954 N.F.L. championship — and the Browns can chew up the clock because of the excellent mixture of operating backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. However even Baker Mayfield’s most ardent believers ought to wrestle to take him in a head-to-head matchup with Mahomes. The Browns aren’t pushovers, however they most likely can not do a lot to face in Kansas Metropolis’s method. Choose: Chiefs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints, 6:40 p.m., Fox
Line: Saints -3 | Complete: 52
The oldest beginning quarterback left within the A.F.C. playoffs is Baker Mayfield, who doesn’t flip 26 till April. Three of the 4 starters in that convention had been first-round picks within the 2018 draft. By the point any of the 4 had began a sport within the N.F.L., Tom Brady had already gained 5 Tremendous Bowls and Drew Brees was closing in on Dan Marino’s document for profession passing yards.
The younger gamers have largely reimagined the quarterback place, utilizing their mobility to empower their passing whereas contributing to a leaguewide scoring explosion. But Brady and Brees, museum-quality examples of a forgotten age of pocket passers, keep on, main severe Tremendous Bowl contenders within the second week of the playoffs.
In fact, this sport shouldn’t be outlined simply by its well-known quarterbacks. Brees’s Saints had loads of offense this season — operating again Alvin Kamara led the N.F.L. with 21 complete touchdowns — however relied simply as a lot on the protection, which Dennis Allen, the group’s defensive coordinator, constructed right into a powerhouse.
Tampa Bay has a proficient younger protection as nicely — the help on that facet of the ball undoubtedly performed a job in Brady’s choice to signal there — and in latest weeks, the Buccaneers have began to really click on on offense. The group’s wealth of receiving choices — vast receivers Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown; tight finish Rob Gronkowski — powered Brady to his greatest statistical season since at the least 2017 and top-of-the-line of his profession.
The regular-season conferences between these groups had been laughable. The Saints gained each, with a mixed rating of 72-26. And they’re enjoying at dwelling, which performs a job for them even when the impression is lessened by the tiny crowds that the group is allowed to host. The Buccaneers are a ok group that they need to be revered — in some ways, this seems like a tossup — however the Saints are rightly slim favorites in what may very well be probably the most aggressive sport of the weekend. Choose: Saints.
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